Homeownership is still the bedrock of the American Dream, the best avenue for the average person to build equity, amass generational wealth, and eventually retire comfortable (or at least free of rent or a mortgage payment).
In the past couple of years, we’ve seen an abnormally hot market with outrageous bidding wars and ludicrous offers over asking price, just for rabid buyers to get considered. But was all of that due to a turbo-charged market cycle, record low interest rates, and demographic changes due to Covid?
Not really, as there was another important factor in play. It’s one which so many people are missing and don’t even know about: institutional investors buying single family homes.
In fact, this prevalence of huge corporations and investors buying blocks of residential real estate to turn a profit will turn our housing market into a game of musical chairs, leaving a lot of people standing (and renting) when the music stops.
And if you think it’s hard competing for that new listing down the block in your neighborhood with other consumers, try going head-to-head with institutional investors.
In fact, the trend is gaining so much momentum that Real Estate Business Online, drawing on respected Yardi Matrix data, recently published an article with the headline:
Institutions Will Own 40 Percent of All Single-Family Rentals by 2023.
40% of the entire single-family rental market will be owned by these big investors. And 2030 is not so far off. Consider that at some point in 2022, institutional investors accounted for 8.4% of all single-family home purchases, or one in every 12 homes sold approximately.
Of course, it makes financial (dollars and) sense for them, especially with the stock market falling 20% in 2022 and inflation eating up any hope for profitability from more traditional investments. Instead, they can divvy up their spare change of a few billion (no exaggeration) and gobble up residential property.
We’re not just talking about professional investors or individuals looking to pick up a rental property, but massive corporations and funds with bottomless pockets, scooping up single-family listings en masse, turning whole neighborhoods into rental zones.
And while the percentage of our listings going to large investors has dropped slightly to 6.4% (one in every fifteen homes), possibly as covid-era demographics unwind and rents drop, the wave will keep rolling.
Their profits are massive, whether they rent or resell. And with the average rent in the U.S. surpassing $2,000 for the first time last year, rising 15% year-over-year, it’s hard to see them turning their backs to this lucrative asset class.
It’s probably no coincidence that the percentage of first-time buyers purchasing a home last year was at an all-time low (about 26%!), as home price growth, higher mortgage rates, and increased competition pushed affordability out of reach.
But if real estate operates on the simple premise of supply and demand (and it does), expect that affordability crunch to continue. Demand will remain high with fewer listings and a scarcity of SFR when you add the fact that 10%, 20%, or even eventually 40% of the market will be dominated by institutional investors.
If you ask me, now may be the best time for the average person to benefit from that mega trend, especially in high-cost states like California.
Buy a home. Buy a rental. Buy another one. Don’t stop and rest on your laurels. Sure, it always feels expensive (as it always has), but according to this data, you will be sitting pretty by 2030 as 40% of all SFR purchases are monopolized by corporations and funds.
Otherwise, when the music stops (sometime around 2030) and you find that corporations own 40% of all residential SFRs, you’ll be the one left standing.
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Contact me if you’d like to explore the possibilities of buying your first rental property and cash in like the big institutional investors!
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